And we have the word of the prophets made more certain, and you will do well to pay attention to it... Above all, you must understand that no prophecy of Scripture came about by the prophet's own interpretation. For prophecy never had its origin in the will of man, but men spoke from God as they were carried along by the Holy Spirit. (2 Peter 1:19-21)
What determines the future is what God has done in the past and what He has promised to do in the future.
So don't look horizontally at current events.